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Identification of risks in the implementation of new projects of Rosneft for the production of LPGs in the area of ​​IGal (and Pyt-Yah)

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Дата разработки: 05.10.2015

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Identification of risks in the implementation of new projects of Rosneft for the production of LPGs in the area of ​​IGal (and Pyt-Yah)

Content


Stage 1. Evaluation of market risks

1.1. The current volume and structure of the production of LSGs in Russia

1.2. The volume and structure of the railway transportation of LPG in the context of key directions (Ust-Luga, Sanors, Angarsk, etc.)

1.3. Forecast for the development of Russian production of LSG

1.4. Prediction of demand in the domestic market of the LPG.

1.5. Balance of demand and proposals of the Russian LPG market.

1.6. Promising directions for the implementation of LSG new projects of Rosneft in the area of ​​IGl and Pyt-Yah stations.

2. Stage. Risk assessment "Provision of wagon park"

2.1. Comparison of the park of wagons for the transportation of LPGs and the current volume of transportation according to the railway

2.2. The current structure of the park by age, type of wagons and owners.

2.3. Forecast of changes in the volume and structure of the park of wagons (schedule of car retirement, plans of key owners),

2.4. Plans for manufacturers for the production of wagons for LPGs (including the state of development, certification and production of tanks for LPGs of increased capacity (type 15-1780 OJSC MZTM Azovmash OJSC)))

2.5. Comparison of the predicted volume of the railway transportation of a LPG of Russian manufacturers and a car park

2.6. Comparison of the potential volume of railway transportation of new projects of the new projects of Rosneft in the area of ​​IGL and Pyt-Yah stations and the volume of "Available Wagons"

2.7. Conclusion taking into account the information received

3. Stage. Risk assessment "Provision of railway infrastructure"

3.1. The current state of the railway tracks, plans and implementation of the project to expand the main route from a one -track road to a two -way project in the region

3.2. Technological readiness to increase the length of the composition in excess of 71 wagons

3.3. Existing and planned throughput by 2020

3.4. Conclusion on the readiness of the transport infrastructure of the project for shipping LPG in the area of ​​IGl and Pyt-Yah stations

4. Stage. Assessment of other risks

4.1. The risk of traction rolling stock in the SVD

4.2. Existing locomotive park with a traction over 6,000

4.3. Plans to increase the locomotive park with a traction over 6,000

4.4. Conclusion on the significance of other project risks

5. Stage. Assessment of the prospects of using tank containers for the transportation of LPGs from the project region

5.1. The main types of tank containers for LPGs, maximum capacity

5.2. The most significant owners of tank containers for LPGs

5.3. The scale of the use of tank containers for the transportation of LSGs in Russia

5.4. The scale of the use of tank containers for LPG export

5.5. Requirements for tank containers during export

5.6. Readiness and opportunity to take suges in tank containers

File name: ТЗ-368-2015