The goals and objectives of the study:
- Analysis of demand and proposals for gondola cars in the Russian Federation
- Determining the required half -wagons fleet in the freight market
- Determination of the required half -wagons fleet for the customer
Research plan
1. Analysis of the state of affairs in the market of half -wagons of the Russian Federation, the CIS countries and the Baltic.
1.1. Analysis of the current state of affairs (general trends, key market participants).
1.2. Park of half -breeders on state affiliation (Russian Federation, CIS, Baltic countries);
1.3. Study of the half -wagons fleet in the Russian Federation at the moment:
- the age structure of the PV park, with the allocation of inventory, forces and its own;
- factor analysis of the presence of a non -working park of PV for a common PV park;
- The park of Russian PV by type of ownership (Russian Railways, DZO, other owners, including the number of owners with gradation in quantity.
1.4. Analysis of correspondence of cargo transportation on the Railways OJSC networks in gondola cars and organizing empty cars.
1.5. Assessment of the demand for the existing PV Park (deficit/surplus), including:
- assessment of the required park to ensure the volume of goods presented for transportation;
- Analysis of PV balance in the Russian Federation;
- analysis of the shortage of gondola cars in certain segments of the market of freight railway transportation;
- Analysis of problematic issues in the gondola cars.
2. Assessment of the needs of the market of freight railway transportation in gondola cars for 2011 and on the horizon of 2012-2015.
2.1. Assessment of demand for gondola cars.
2.1.1. Factors for the formation of demand for gondola cars.
2.1.2. Description of the methodology for forecasting demand for gondola cars for 2011. and on the horizon until 2015.
2.2. The forecast of the required park of Russian gondola cars for 2011 and for the period until 2015 based on:
- data on cargo transportation in PV in 2009/2010;
- analysis of the dynamics of the volume of cargo transportation in gondola cars.
3. The forecast of the state of the half -wagons park for 2011 and for the period until 2015.
3.1. PV PV PV, subject to disposal, including inventory and own rolling stock;
3.2. Description of the behavior of private operators on the formation of a procurement plan of gondola cars. Factors affecting the decision to purchase rolling stock
3.3. Forecast for filling the transport market of freight railway Transportation with new gondola cars.
4. Calculation of the customer’s half -wagons required for 2011 and for the period until 2015.
4.1. Calculation of the volume of cargo transportation in the inventory gondola cars in 2010.
4.2. The forecast of the share of the volume of cargo transportation of 2010 in the inventory gondola cars, which will be carried out using gondola cars of other operators.
4.3. The forecast of the share of the volume of cargo transportation in 2010 in private half -wagons, which will be carried out in the mid -three councils of the customer.
4.4. Calculation of the customer’s half -wagons required for 2011 and for the period until 2015.
- Assessment of proposals for PV for cargo transportation
5.1. Proposals for the provision of gondola cars in the market of the Russian Federation. Operators. The price of proposals for the provision of PV for the transportation of goods.
5.2. List of enterprises of railway engineering of the Russian Federation and the CIS countries. General characteristics. Description of the products. The cost of products. The formation of pricing policy.
6. Conclusions.
