The main parameters of the forecast:
Types of rolling stock-gondola cars, covered wagons, tanks for transporting oil and oil products, tanks for transporting liquefied hydrocarbon gases, tanks for transporting chemical goods, hoppers-mineral carriers, hoppers-grains, platforms of fitting, universal platforms.
Cargoes transported in the wagons indicated in the previous paragraph, namely: coal of stone, coking coals, ferrous metals (including scrap), oil and petroleum products, mineral fertilizers, liquefied hydrocarbon gases, chemical cargo, grain and grinding products, iron and manganese ore and manganese , building goods (including cement), forest cargo, containers.
The assessment period is 10 (ten) years: 2015-2024. - In the breakdown by year.
The format of the result and the preliminary cost of work:
Analysis of the freight market by rail:
- assessment of the development of industries - consumers of products transported in rolling stock (coal oil is ferrous metals, forest, ores, bread cargo, chemical goods, mineral fertilizers of cement)
- assessment of the volume of transportation and cargo turnover transported in rolling stock (coal oil is ferrous metals, forest, ores, bread loads, chemical goods, mineral fertilizers of cement).
Assessment of the need for rolling stock:
- assessment of the condition of the current park of wagons. The structure of the park of wagons in the context of age.
- Assessment of the disposal from the active park of wagons.
- Assessment of the need for rolling stock, taking into account the development of the production of new generation wagons.
Assessment of accessibility for the acquisition of rolling stock:
- a forecast for the development of capacities for the production of wagons and wagon casting in the Russian Federation and Ukraine by type of rolling stock
- Assessment of the required purchases of rolling stock from the leading owners of the park of wagons, taking into account the structure of the park.
Assessment of the market leasing market for freight railway wagons:
- Assessment of the prospects for the development of the market, the penetration of surgical leasing.
- Assessment of a change in the attractiveness of surgical leasing as a form of ensuring the availability of rolling stock.
- Analysis of competition, strategic plans for the development of playing companies in the rolling stock market (leasing companies, rolling stock operators, transport companies, consignors), the influence of the dynamics of the competitive situation on the development of the surgical leasing market of freight wagons.
Assessment of the main indicators of the surgical leasing market:
- the average market price of the sale of new freight wagons in the breakdown by type of rolling stock
- the average daily rental rate of new freight wagons in the breakdown by type of rolling stock
Description of the expected changes in the market of freight railway changes and their influence on the market of operational leasing of the freight rolling stock:
- changes in the model of market for freight railway transportation, including reforms in the industry (changes in the structure of the industry players, liberalization of individual market segments, changes in tariff policy).
- Changes in the investment program of Russian Railways.
