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Audit of marketing information of the financial model of the oil refinery

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Дата разработки: 19.05.2022

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Audit of marketing information of the financial model of the oil refinery


Commodity research boundaries:
- naphtha [gasoline stable (BGS), straight-run gasoline, natural gas distillate condensate, nefras]
- vacuum gas oil (VGO)
- fuel oil
- high viscosity fuel according to specification
Research objectives:
  • Assessing the reachability of sales volume by export scale comparisons and/or production
  • Assessing the realism of the price level: comparison with export prices
1. Naphtha Market
1.1 Estimated volume of naphtha shipped by rail Russian consumers
1.2 Estimated export volume of naphtha from Russia in 2021…1Q2022
1.3 Distribution of naphtha exports in section by country of destination in 2021…1Q2022 yy
1.4 Naphtha export price level in 2021…1Q2022
1.5 Sales reachability estimate naphtha by comparison to scale export
1.6 prices in the project for naphtha by comparing with export prices
2. Vacuum gas oil market
2.1 Vacuum gas oil by Russian railway transport consumers
2.2 Vacuum export volume estimate gas oil from Russia in 2021…1Q2022 yy
2.3 Vacuum Export Distribution gas oil by countries of destination in 2021…1Q2022
2.4 Export price level for vacuum gas oil in 2021…1Q2022
2.5 Estimating Sales Reachability vacuum gas oil by comparing with export scale
2.6 Estimating the realism of the level of export prices in the project for vacuum gas oil by comparing with export prices
3. Fuel oil market
3.1 Evaluation of the volume of shipment of fuel oil railway transport to Russian consumers
3.2 Estimated volume of exports of fuel oil from Russia in 2021…1Q2022 yy
3.3 Fuel oil export distribution by countries of destination in 2021…1Q2022
3.4 Fuel oil export price level furnace M-100 in 2021…Q1 2022 yy
3.5 Estimating Sales Reachability fuel oil by comparison with export scale
3.6 Level realism score export prices in the project for fuel oil furnace M-100 by comparison with export prices
4. High Viscosity Fuel Market
4.1 High Viscosity Export Estimation fuel from Russia in 2021…Q1 2022 yy
4.2 High viscosity export distribution fuel by country appointments in 2021…1Q2022 yy
4.3 High viscosity export price level fuel in 2021…Q12022 yy
4.4 Estimating Volume Reachability sales of high-viscosity fuel through comparisons with export scale
4.5 Level realism score export prices in the project for high-viscosity fuel by comparing with export prices
5. Summary comparison table for all types of products

Preparation available market research in 2023
File name: ТЗ-2022-116