Tasks
- The demand for the demand for automobile gasoline, diesel fuel/gas -water, aviation kerosene in the Russian Federation until 2025;
- Forecast of oil processing and production of automobile gasoline, diesel fuel/gas, aviation kerosene at the NPZ of the Russian Federation until 2025;
- The forecast for commodity flows of automobile gasoline, diesel fuel/gas -sized, aviation kerosene in the breakdown in areas, types of transport and refineries.
1. Markets of automobile gasoline, diesel fuel/gas, air kerosene of the Russian Federation in 2010-2013.
1.1. The market of automobile gasoline in the Russian Federation in 2010-2013.
1.1.1. Balance of supply and supply. The main factors of demand. Production of automobile gasoline in the Russian Federation in the division by brands (AI-80, AI-92, AI-95+) and for NPZ manufacturers.
1.1.2. Deliveries of car gasoline to the regions of the Russian Federation and for export in the division by type of transport and refineries. The cost of transportation by rail from the NPs-manufacturers to constituent entities of the Russian Federation (average annual).
1.2. The diesel fuel/gasyle market in the Russian Federation in 2010-2013.
1.2.1. Balance of supply and supply. The main factors of demand. Production of diesel fuel/gasoli in the Russian Federation in the division of environmental classes, seasonality and for refineries.
1.2.2. Supplies of diesel fuel/gasoli to the regions of the Russian Federation and for export in division by type of transport and refineries. The cost of transportation by rail from the NPs-manufacturers to constituent entities of the Russian Federation (average annual).
1.3. Aviation kerosene market in the Russian Federation in 2010-2013.
1.3.1. Balance of supply and supply. The main factors of demand. Production of aviation kerosene in the Russian Federation in the division of NPZ manufacturers.
1.3.2. Deliveries of aviation kerosene to the regions of the Russian Federation and for export in division by type of transport and refineries. The cost of transportation by rail from the NPs-manufacturers to constituent entities of the Russian Federation (average annual).
2. Forecast for the development of automobile gasoline markets, diesel fuel/gas -sized, aviation kerosene of the Russian Federation until 2025
2.1. Scenario conditions and the main assumptions of the forecast (macroeconomic parameters, tax, customs-tariff and technical regulation, nature of competition).
2.2. The prognosis of demand for automobile gasoline, diesel fuel/gas -water, aviation kerosene in the Russian Federation in the breakdown in federal districts.
2.3. The prognosis of oil refining and the production of oil products in the breakdown of the NPS of the Russian Federation, taking into account the development projects of factories and the expected loading them with raw materials (autobensin - in the breakdown through stamps and environmental classes, diesel fuel - in breaking through environmental classes).
2.4. A forecast for the development of infrastructure for transporting oil products to the domestic market and export (including transport systems and transshipment systems).
2.5. Forecast of the cost of transporting petroleum products by rail and pipeline vehicles from refineries to administrative centers of the constituent entities of the Federation.
2.6. The forecast of commodity flows of automobile gasoline, diesel fuel/gas, aviation kerosene in dividing by regions of the Russian Federation, export areas, types of transport and refineries, taking into account changes in the competitive environment in the domestic market of the Russian Federation (supply of oil products from the refinery are shown without division by classes and brands).
2.7. The sensitivity of the forecast to a change in the main parameters of scenario conditions (oil prices for Urals and export duties for oil and oil products): quality analysis.
